Showing posts with label foreign relations. Show all posts
Showing posts with label foreign relations. Show all posts
Wednesday, May 11, 2022
On ROK cooperation with NATO cyber defense center
Only 5 states in Asia support sanctions against Russia, those are Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Australia, and New Zealand. ASEAN is opposed. India is opposed, among others. With Indian opposition, the poor efficacy of the Quad as a new cold war mechanism against China and Russia is highlighted. This is why the AUKUS arrangement was developed. Japan, is not really committed to oil and gas sanctions on Russia, not wishing to lose its position in the international consortium with Russia in the Sakhalin gas project. Chevron and Exxon pulled out, Japan didn’t.
South Korea tends to view intelligence cooperation agreements, such as that with the US and Japan, as necessary to its security needs particularly against North Korea, but not as provocative to China as commitments as “boots on the ground” or other hard military asset commitments.
It is true that with the election of Yoon Suk-yeol who represents the legacy Japanese collaborator and military dictatorship elites in the conservative party, South Korea will become more compliant with Japanese and US anti-China initiatives. The fact is that this will hurt South Korean national interests which are similar to those of ASEAN countries who need to maintain a more ambivalent posture toward the new cold war in order not to damage their trade relations and security interests vis a vis their largest trading partner China.
With the election of Yoon Suk-yeol as president of South Korea, it is more likely to take unwise positions damaging its relationship with China. These would include abandoning the “three noes policy” adopted by the Moon Jae-in administration. No further disposition of any ABM system designed to be used against China, no participation in an anti-China alliance anti ballistic system, and no participation in a military alliance directed against China. The other trip wire for South Korea-China relations would be for it to make some statement of commitment to the security or independence of Taiwan that goes beyond its recent boilerplate and vague commitment to security in the Taiwan Strait which can be taken as merely a statement of support for freedom of navigation in the East China Sea region.
The publicized announcement of a NATO military commitment against China is a substitute for a failed effort by the US to raise an actual regional block against China that goes further than Japan, Australia, and New Zealand, the so called “white countries.”
Thursday, May 5, 2022
Ukraine war is a heaven sent opportunity for Japan’s right
(Source 호사카유지TV/ OhMyNewsTV May 2) “우크라 전쟁은 하늘이 준 기회”... 아베가 다시 움직인다
Professor Hosaka Yuji, "Ukraine war is a heaven sent opportunity"...Abe is on the move again. Picture shows Abe giving a speech on constitutional revision at a venue in his Yamaguchi Prefecture district, April 3. Abe has been stumping for the Constitution revision to remove Art 9 restrictions on Japanese self defense forces to permit offensive warfare capabilities, like a "normal country."
The professor who is an analyst of Korean-Japanese relations and Japanese politics goes on to describe how the far right elements of the LDP (whose views are typically carefully screened from western view by compliant English language media) see the future conflicts with Russia and China requiring a solid military alliance with the US with greater Japanese military contribution and the encouragement of greater international support in Asia against Russia and China. This Japanese view anticipates an outcome from the ongoing conflict and perhaps additional future wars, providing the groundwork for a new international system, either in the UN or similar international institution arising in the aftermath of conflict, in which Japan is elevated to Security Council status among the victorious states, while great powers like Russia and China are replaced or excluded. The process requires Japan to abandon its three non-nuclear principles along with the current Constitution’s rejection of the use of war to resolve international disputes. An interim objective would be to have Japan join the AUKUS nuclear oriented military alliance in lieu of the Quad which appears to be faltering as a basis of an anti-Russian or anti-China military alliance due to India’s equivocation demonstrated clearly in the context of the Ukrainian war. The Japanese right sees Japan as leaving behind for all time, its history as a “war criminal nation,” (which it denies in its revisionist view of history as an unfair stigma undermining Japanese pride as a people). So in the LDP’s right wing ideological vision it’s time to abandon the San Francisco Treaty system to join the ranks of the future victors in a new world order in the war against China and Russia.
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