Saturday, July 1, 2023

SOTA coordinated missile attack




depicted in this graphic by South Korean military analyst Shin In-kyun. He's very conservative, but sometimes he gets into detail on tactical issues and arms acquisition.

The graphic is intended to reflect North Korean adoption of successful Russian offensive missile tactics recently observed in Ukraine. Shin raised the issue for two reasons. First, because of the lack of an effective response to the North Korean drone incursions into South Korea Dec. 26. So he's assuming a coordinated strike by North Korea could be similar to a coordinated Russian missile strike. Second because he's making a sales pitch to the ROK for an Israeli close in defense system, MADIS, that the USMC bought, in 2013, according to Shin. He's also recommending the Israeli Tamir missile in combination with the Iron Dome system.

I like this graphic because it shows the variety of profiles of the strike weapons the North Koreans potentially have available. A coordinated attack definitely presents a problem for the defender. From the bottom up: drone envelope, cruise missile, hypersonic missile, ballistic missile with variable terminal guidance, and uppermost, the conventional ballistic missile. Added to the mix are 170mm mlrs, 240mm mlrs, and artillery at short range.

(7.1.23) Posted this because of an interview video I saw of Ray MacGovern by Robert Scheer. At the outset, Scheer seemed incredibly misinformed as to how the conflict in Ukraine was proceeding, particularly the aerospace conflict. To paraphase Scheer, "Ray are you telling me our advanced weapons systems are ineffective and being destroyed in Ukraine?" The original Shin In-kyun video on this subject was in January 2023. The above was only my draft, which for some reason I never completed. I try to follow aerospace developments of political significance in East Asia and publish occasionally on this blog about significant air and missile operations particularly in the Korean theater. Because I have done so, I was aware of the initial difficulties Russia faced in the early phases of the Ukraine conflict. But eventually, the multifaceted means of a sophisticated combined aerospace attack tactics had succeeded in clearing the way for Russia and allowing it to defeat Ukrainian offensives. Some of these weapons systems are designed to exploit the seams in various defensive western SAM and AAA systems. Some are difficult to track with precision, due low altitude ingress, terrain masking, low apogee ballistic trajectories, variable terminable guidance on ballistic missiles (and missile artillery), and hypersonic speeds, all serve to defeat western designed air defense systems.

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